AdopDER
High-resolution DER forecasting for a decarbonized grid
National Renewable Energy Lab’s (NREL) recent Electrification Futures Study indicates that national electric energy consumption in the year 2050 could be over 80 percent higher than it was in 2018, driven by space heating electrification and transportation electrification. In this future outcome, electric utilities will be faced with a challenge: this load growth will not be spread evenly across their distribution systems.
AdopDER is forecasting software that shows electric utilities where and when they can expect recent trends in distributed energy resources (DER) like building electrification, transportation electrification, and generation will impact their distribution systems.
AdopDER’s holistic view of DER also uses detailed customer data to tell those utilities what resources (demand response, flexible loads, and storage) they have at their disposal to mitigate load growth.
We developed AdopDER with Portland General Electric, who used it their recent distribution system plan filing (Link 1 and Link 2). Since that filing, two other electric utilities in the Pacific Northwest are using AdopDER to understand where DER will impact their grids of the future.
AdopDER forecasts the loading on the future-state electric distribution system.
AdopDER produces 8760-hourly load shapes for each DER across the distribution system
The AdopDER Approach
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AdopDER forecasts DER adoption using with an agent-based approach informed by data about each service point in your service territory
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After building the adoption forecast, AdopDER applies detailed, 8760 hourly load impacts for each DER and each service point.
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Finally, AdopDER creates a locational, 8760 hourly forecast net of DER by overlaying DER load impacts a sophisticated, locational load forecast built from your customer AMI.
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